Ebate topic: agree with China will become a democracy within 10-15 years

This is a debating topic, so please write it more informally and with more of a spoken language.
-you can you bullet points as long as it is clear what you are illustrating
-please at least have 2 historical events to support that China will become a democracy within 10-15 years

-please have at least 4 to 5 main points on why Chiana will become a democracy within 10-15 years, and please also support it with evidence.

-please contain historical background, nowaday politics and other useful material, as this is a hard topic to debate…please try your best..Thank you for your attention and sorry for any inconvience.

I will upload a material-essay that is written by anotehr writer which is against China will become a democracy…if possible, maybe you can find weaknesses in the debating essay and emphasize on it..(its only a material to help for more ideas)

-Required Reading:
Elizabeth J. Perry. a?Studying Chinese Politics: Farewell to Revolution,a? The China
Journal 57 (January 2007): 2-22.

-Recommended:
a?China Since Tiananmen,a? Special Edition, Journal of Democracy (Vol. 20, No. 3) July
2009, articles by Perry, Lee, OaBrien, Wasserstrom, Nathan (pp. 17-40)
Thorton, John L. 2008. a?Long Time Coming: The Prospects for Democracy in China,a?
Foreign Affairs (January/February).
Henry S. Rowan (2007) a?When Will the Chinese People Be Free?a? Journal of
Democracy Vol. 18, No. 3 (July): 38-50, and responses by Dali Yang and by Minxin Pei.
Cheng Li, ed. Chinaas Changing Political Landscape: Prospects for Democracy.
Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2009, especially chapters by Fewsmith
(212-228); Solinger (251-266); Naughton (142-158).
Kerry Brown, Struggling Giant. China in the 21st Century. London, Anthem Press, 2007.
Andrew Nathan, a?Chinas Authoritarian Resilience.a? Journal of Democracy, 14:1 (2003),
pp. 6-17.
Ogden, Suzanne. 2002. Inklings of Democracy in China (Cambridge, Mass: Harvard
University Press).